Premier League Top Four Odds: Who Will Grab The Coveted Spots?
The battle to secure a top-four finish is delicately poised as we approach the business end of the Premier League season.
Betting sites are offering just 1.0 on Arsenal finishing in the top four, while Man City are also priced at 1.0 and Manchester United are as short as 1.17.
All three teams look safe, leaving just one coveted spot in next season’s Champions League up for grabs.
Tottenham are currently in pole position, but the teams below them have games in hand, and the race for fourth-place could ultimately go right down to the wire.
You can find the updated odds below, followed by our analysis of each team’s chances of securing a coveted top-four finish.
|
|
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
% Chance | ||||
| Manchester City | 99.50% |
-- | 1.01 |
-- |
| Arsenal FC | 99.30% |
-- | 1.01 |
-- |
| Manchester United | 85.47% |
-- | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Newcastle United | 47.62% |
-- | 2.10 | 2.10 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 36.36% |
-- | 2.75 | 2.62 |
| Liverpool FC | 30.77% |
-- | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 16.67% |
-- | 6.00 | 5.50 |
| Chelsea FC | 2.44% |
-- | 41.00 | 34.00 |
Newcastle
The Magpies are back in business after beating Wolves and Nottingham Forest recently.
Their season was hanging in the balance after they went five games without a win, but Alexander Isak powered them to a vital 2-1 victory over Wolves on March 13.
The Swedish striker was the star of the show once again in a 2-1 win at the City Ground, as he scored at the end of both halves to put Forest to the sword.
That result left Newcastle fifth in the standings, just two points behind Tottenham and with two games in hand.
Isak’s return from a long-term injury lay-off could not have come at a better time for Eddie Howe’s men, who have struggled in the final third of the pitch since the turn of the year.
The Magpies have the best defensive record in the Premier League, but they have scored fewer goals than any other team in the top eight.
If Isak maintains his hot streak in front of goal and the defence remains stubborn, Newcastle could return to the Champions League for the first time since 2003.
They are now the favourites to join Arsenal, City and United, and you can grab a market leading 2.10 at Ladbrokes, which could tempt punters in the North East and beyond.
Tottenham
Tottenham’s chances of holding onto their position in the top four were seriously dented when they dropped points against bottom club Southampton last time out.
Manager Antonio Conte followed it up with an extraordinary, incendiary press conference in which he savaged his own players and lambasted the owners.
Many observers now expect the fiery Italian coach to be sacked, with former midfielder Ryan Mason expected to be installed as the next Tottenham manager on a caretaker basis until the end of the season.
Things are not looking good for Spurs, who have the seventh-worst defensive record in the Premier League this season.
The goals of Harry Kane have kept them in the hunt, but the managerial situation is shrouded in uncertainty and the morale of the players could be low.
As such, Tottenham have drifted out to 2.75 with to finish in the top four this season.
Liverpool
The Reds were priced at just 1.1 with most of the best football betting sites to secure a top-four finish at the start of the season.
After all, they have not finished outside the top four since 2016, and they racked up an impressive haul of 92 points last term.
However, Liverpool made a slow start to the current campaign, and they were languishing in mid-table at the halfway stage.
They mounted an impressive resurgence, only to lose 1-0 to relegation threatened Bournemouth in their last game. That result left them seven points behind Spurs, albeit with two games in hand.
Jurgen Klopp’s men also trail Newcastle by five points, having played the same number of games as the Magpies.
Their misery was compounded when influential midfielder Stefan Bajcetic was ruled out for the rest of the season through injury.
Liverpool have now moved out to 3.25 to maintain their streak of top-four finishes this season.
They still have to play Arsenal, Man City and Chelsea, so Klopp will need to rally his troops and inspire an upturn in performance levels during the run-in.
Brighton
The Seagulls remain firmly in the hunt for a top-four finish after Solly March’s goal inspired them to a 1-0 victory over fierce rivals Crystal Palace last time out.
That left high-flying Brighton level on points with Liverpool, but they have a game in hand on the Reds.
It means they are now just seven points behind Spurs, with three games in hand, so they cannot be ruled out.
Some fans may have expected the season to fall apart after manager Graham Potter was lured to Stamford Bridge, but Brighton have arguably been even more impressive under Roberto De Zerbi.
They did well to hold onto holding midfielder Moises Caicedo in January, and his partnership with World Cup winner Alexis Mac Allister has provided the springboard for their top-four push.
The Seagulls are priced at 6.0 with Bet365 to finish in the Champions League places, and they also have an FA Cup semi-final against Man Utd to look forward to, so these are heady times for Brighton fans.
The Rest
Free-spending Chelsea are out at 41.0 with betting apps in this market, despite taking seven points from their last three games.
The Blues are stuck in 10th place, 11 points behind Tottenham, and it is difficult to see them overhauling all of the teams above them.
Brentford are level on points with Brighton and Liverpool, but they have played more games than their rivals, so the Bees are 151.0 outsiders.
Fulham drifted to 201.0 after losing their last two games, while in-form Aston Villa are 501.0, as they have seemingly left it too late.
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