Nobel Peace Prize Odds: Zelenskyy Favourite With Jacinda Ardern An Outsider
Betting sites have placed Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the favourite to win the 2023 Nobel Peace Prize as his country continues its efforts to repel Russian aggression.
Jacinda Ardern, who resigned as Prime Minister of New Zealand earlier this year, has been given odds of 16/1 this year having been at the top end of the betting in recent years for her efforts to combat the coronavirus pandemic.
Ardern has since led by example with growing calls from NZ to address climate change issues, but vacating her role as PM has not appeared to help her Nobel Peace Prize chances.
The Ukraine war has entered its second year and Nobel Peace Prize favourite Zelenskyy has spent much of 2023 courting heads of state across Europe in an effort to ramp up his country’s arsenal.
Russian president Vladimir Putin appears set on a long-drawn-out war in Ukraine – even though Russia is said to have lost a third of its military forces already.
Zelenskyy insists there will be no formal peace talks with Russia until the invading forces have withdrawn from all Ukrainian territory.
And even though peace seems a long way off right now, the bookies reckon the 45-year-old is on course to win the prestigious prize.
Indeed, it appears as though the prize will again be dominated by those fighting Russian aggression.
Nobel Peace Prize 2023 Betting
Last year Belarusian human rights advocate Ales Bialiatski won the award, alongside the Russian human rights organisation Memorial and the Ukrainian human rights organisation Center for Civil Liberties.
It is highly likely that the 2023 Peace Prize will also go to a recipient involved in the humanitarian side of the Ukraine war.
Indeed, Nobel have a knack of surprising the betting odds and selecting lesser-known organisations and public figures for the gong – meaning Zelenskyy isn’t guaranteed to win it in 2023, despite what the odds think.
Latest Frontrunners For The 2023 Nobel Peace Prize
At 6/1 on political betting sites, Zelenskyy is the favourite this year and rightly deserves to be in consideration.
The Ukrainian president has successfully fended off a nationwide invasion from neighbours Ukraine, and is steadfast in his determination to push Russian forces back over the border.
He has widespread European and American support, and is not interested in claiming Russian lands – solely protecting Ukraine.
His growing status on the world stage makes him a viable candidate for the Peace Prize – although Nobel may choose to look elsewhere for a less obvious, but equally deserving, recipient.
Vladimir Putin’s most vocal opponent in Russia, Alexei Navalny has survived a number of attempts on his life and is currently in a Russian jail for supposed trumped-up charges of embezzlement and contempt of court.
However, this has not prevented his influence from spreading. Navalny is well known in the West and across Russia, and he remains a thorn in Putin’s side.
At 15/2, betting apps clearly think he has a shot at the Nobel Peace Prize, which would only heighten his notoriety at home and abroad.
The plight of the Uighur Muslims in China is only now being fully understood elsewhere in the world, and Ilham Tohti has done his part in revealing how this minority population is being treated by the government.
Tohti is a lecturer and economist that fell on China’s radar around 15 years ago. He was jailed for life in 2014 on “separatism” charges.
Five years later he won the Freedom Award among other human rights prizes for his continued campaigning from his jail cell. He is also 15/2 to win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2023.
Belarus remains the only formal ally of Russia in the invasion of Ukraine – and Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya has become a symbol of hope in the country by campaigning against despot president Alexander Lukashenko.
Tsikhanouskaya stood against Lukashenko in the disputed 2020 Belarusian election and fled the country shortly afterwards. She is Lukashenko’s most vocal critic and now operates in neighbouring countries. At 15/2 on multiple new betting sites, she is a contender for the Nobel gong.
World Health Organization
The WHO is always towards the top of the Nobel Peace Prize list, largely because there’s usually an outbreak of disease somewhere in the world. However, the WHO have never won the Peace gong. Could this be their year?
Perhaps. Advancements in vaccine technology means the Covid-19 pandemic is now largely behind us, while the WHO has been vocal in its support for more medical resources in war-torn Ukraine.
At 9/1 this appears to be a long shot, but few would argue the WHO doesn’t deserve to be considered.
How Nobel Peace Prize Works
The Nobel Peace Prize is arguably the most prestigious of the five Nobel prizes dished out every year.
It launched in December 1901 on behalf of the estate of Swedish industrialist Alfred Nobel, and has honoured some of the most recognised people on the planet.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee invites academic and relevant people to submit nominations for the Peace Prize, and keeps the process a secret. However, bookmakers can generally guess at who might be up for the gong.
For example, Malala Yousafzai rightly won the award in 2014 following her campaigning against Taliban suppression of young children and women in Pakistan.
Al Gore won the prize in 2007 for his campaign to spread knowledge of climate change.
Other notable winners include:
- Humanitarian Henry Dunant (1901)
- US president Theodore Roosevelt (1906)
- International Committee of the Red Cross (1917)
- Pacifist Emily Greene Balch (1946)
- Civil rights leader Martin Luther King Jr. (1964)
- UNICEF (1965)
- Politician Henry Kissinger (1973)
- Northern Irish peace activist Mairead Corrigan (1976)
- Mother Teresa (1979)
- Desmond Tutu (1984)
- Mikhail Gorbachev (1990)
- John Hume (1998)
- Kofi Annan (2001)
- Barack Obama (2009)
- The World Food Programme (2020)
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